Real Estate
New Year, more of the same D.C. housing trends
Sales remain robust in first quarter of 2019
New year, hot market! After a weaker than usual fall market of 2018, the 2019 market came in with a bang. Sales are robust, buyers are entering the market at a rapid pace (more on this later), days on market are short, and off-market activity has increased. So will this fast pace of the market continue throughout the year? What else do we anticipate for real estate in 2019? As I reviewed my 2018 real estate market predictions, I realized that although much has changed since early 2018, much more has stayed the same. So without further ado, here are my predictions for the 2019 real estate market.
AMAZON ā HOW REAL IS THE HYPE?
Everyone is asking how much impact Amazonās HQ2 will have on our area. While it is too early to tell exactly what the HQ2 future holds, we can tell you what weāve seen so far. A few Amazon executives have already relocated to our area. We are working and have worked with several buyers from Seattle and have seen a couple of others bring offers on our listings. However, this first round of relocations has been limited and hasnāt impacted the market on a large scale.
We have also seen the Amazon effect in two other areas. First, renters (mostly millennials living in D.C., Arlington, and Alexandria) have decided they want to buy before the large relocations begin, causing a buyer influx in the market. The second effect is a significant increase in consumer confidence locally. While the political climate (which we will talk about later) is a bit more unpredictable with furloughs and unstable interest rates, the news of Amazonās HQ2 has given both buyers and sellers confidence about our local real estate market ā always a good thing. With the news of the New York location possibly being reconsidered, this means only good things for our area. You can read more about our predictions for Amazonās HQ2 at thegoodhartgroup.com.
FEBRUARY 2019 UPDATE
This week, Amazon announced itās halting plans for its other HQ2 site in Queens, N.Y., due to a lack of support from local government officials and the community. Amazon officials insist that pulling out of the Long Island City location does NOT mean theyāre searching for a new HQ2 site. Its expansion plans will proceed focused on the National Landing site outside D.C. and Nashville hub locations. Amazonās 17 other hubs will absorb the remaining jobs. However, local officials are not ruling out the possibility of more jobs at Amazonās Crystal City location. Stephanie Landrum,Ā president and CEO of the Alexandria Economic Development Partnership, said the stateās package was structured to allow for the possibility of up toĀ 37,500 localĀ Amazon jobs, an additional 50% on top of the planned 25,000. Of course, more area jobs means only good news for home values in our region.
MILLENNIALS: HIGH EXPECTATIONS
This resurgence of high-end millennial buyers who entered the market in 2018 also created demand for new construction and renovated homes. Why are these younger luxury buyers so interested in newer renovated properties, especially in our historic town? Many are dual-income families who do not have the time, vision, or cash to update an older home. But, these buyers still want their home to look good. We millennials have come of age in a visual society (thank you, Instagram and Pinterest) where we expect everything to look good, all the time.
This desire for new and improved homes has meant intense competition over the few available lots and small homes on lots over 5,000 square feet that could be expanded and renovated.
Unfortunately for many buyers looking for starter homes in our market, most single-family homes in close-in neighborhoods listed under $800,000 were scooped up in multiple offer situations by builders making all cash, no contingencies offers. As a result, many first and second time buyers were edged out of the running.
THE POLITICAL CLIMATE: ITāS ALL ABOUT POTRUXI
So, what in the heck is PoTruXi? ProTruXi is an abbreviation for the three people who will shape the course of the national economy this year.
Po = Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve. What the Fed does over the next year will matter, big time. Interest rates have been especially volatile and quite a bit higher than they were at this time last year. Itās been predicted that rates would continue to rise throughout 2019, but we have seen the Fed pump the brakes a bit on their plans to raise rates. Rising interest rates play a huge role in the health of the real estate market as they can dramatically impact affordability. We anticipate rates to rise only subtly this year ā versus the expectation at the end of 2018 that they would continue to rise aggressively. This is good news!
Tru = President Trump ā and actually, Congress too. What happens here in D.C. has major ramifications for our economy and our real estate market, both nationally and locally. With a Democratic House of Representatives and a Republican Senate, the balance of power could provide to be a positive for the market. Why? Often it means that extremist policy on either side of the aisle is unlikely to be passed which improves consumer confidence. The big unknown locally is how we will weather another possible government shutdown. The January shutdown didnāt have a large impact on our market as a whole. However, if Trump and Congress continue their stalemate, it may cause more of a problem in the future.
Xi = Chinaās President Xi. The ability to strike a trade deal between the U.S. and China will also matter. The current turbulence around trade is fueling a lack of confidence and stock market volatility. Many U.S. companies are reliant on growth in China and tariffs on construction materials have made both renovating and building less affordable. We already have a chronic shortage of housing, especially affordable housing, so I would anticipate trade becoming more of a hot button issue as we get closer to elections.
THE FUTURE OF TECHNOLOGY
Last year, I predicted biometrics and artificial intelligence would make their appearance as new trends in the industry. Biometrics has become more mainstream in our everyday world as consumers embraced the iPhone X and Clear security at the airport. However, we still havenāt seen it become mainstream in the real estate world but the whispers continue that it is coming.
I also predicted artificial intelligence would become a part of the real estate space and there were significant strides in this arena in 2018, both inside and outside of real estate. On the real estate front, last year I referenced a futuristic sign that could interact with consumers that was āteasedā at a conference I attended. In 2018, this sign was unveiled by Compass! In fact, the moment Robert Reffkin, the CEO ofĀ Compass, introduced the idea of the sign, a spark of interest about this growing company was ignited for our team. Of course, in June of 2018, we officially joined Compass and are so proud to be a part of a company that is advancing the world of real estate forward.Ā With the hiring of Microsoftās former Chief of Technology,Ā Compass is also rolling outĀ an artificial intelligence program that will improve both the consumer and agent experiences.
THE REAL STORY OF 2019
While all of these factors will play a role, the real story of 2019 market in the DC Metro areais historically low inventory which is impacting buyers and sellers of all agents in all price points. While our market has experienced low inventory for the last two or three years, we are seeing even more fierce competition and bidding wars already in 2019. After being strategically staged and marketed with a coming soon campaign, one of our listings in Rosemont recently had 13 offers and sold well over asking with no contingencies. This is great news for sellers and not-so-great news for buyers. It will be critical for buyers to work with an agent plugged into the market.
Because of this low inventory, we are seeing more off-market activity, with fewer homes going on the active market.
As a result, most active buyers arenāt even hearing about available homes until they are already under contract.
THE BOTTOM LINE – OUR MARKET IS STRONG
So, what does all of this mean when taken together? More buyers in the market and fewer sellers mean that we are likely going to be in a sellersā market in 2019. That being said, sellers still need to stage and price their homes appropriately to generate interest in todayās highly visual world. When they do, they are being rewarded with excellent contracts. Sellers can capitalize on the stalemated interest rates and excitement over Amazon. Buyers can lock in still low rates before they rise.
All in all, the first half of 2019 is shaping up to be a strong market. We will be closely watching the political climate and the plans for Amazonās expansion to see how things look for the second half of the year.Ā In the meantime, if we can help you with your real estate goals in any way, please donāt hesitate to reach out.Ā We are always here to help!
Allison Goodhart DuShuttle is with Compass Real Estate. Led by Sue &Ā AllisonĀ Goodhart, they have been named a Top Agent by bothĀ WashingtonianĀ andĀ Northern VirginiaĀ magazines.Ā AllisonĀ can be reached at 703-362-3221Ā or [email protected].Ā
Real Estate
Your holiday home journey
Real estate decisions often tap into our deeper desires for connection
Thanksgiving and real estate share an essential theme: the importance of home. It is traditionally a time of gratitude, togetherness, and reflection. While its hallmark symbols may include turkey dinners, family gatherings, and autumnal dƩcor, it also invites us to think deeply about our values and who and what we hold dear.
For some people, the family home connotes a place of safety, comfort, and community. For others, visiting with family over the holiday can be a contentious and stressful ordeal best avoided. Countless of my friends have severed toxic relationships that can rival an exploding, deep-fried turkey. They have opted instead for dining out or hosting a gathering of food and football with like-minded people.
During Thanksgiving, the idea of āhomeā becomes particularly poignant. It is more than just a physical structure; itās where people gather, memories are made, and traditions are passed down. For those involved in real estate ā whether as professionals or as individuals embroiled in the market ā this emotional dimension of home is a driving force.
When buying a house, itās not just about square footage or the number of bedrooms. It’s about envisioning a Thanksgiving dinner in the dining room, imagining children playing in the backyard, or hosting friends in the cozy living space. Real estate decisions often tap into our deeper desires for connection, stability, and legacy ā values closely tied to the spirit of Thanksgiving.
Thanksgiving falls in the quieter part of the real estate calendar, with spring and summer being the traditionally hot seasons for buying and selling. Yet, for those who choose to list their homes in November, the holiday offers unique opportunities. Sellers can use Thanksgivingās warm, inviting atmosphere to their advantage, staging homes with seasonal touches like autumn wreaths, a cornucopia of fruits and nuts, the sparkle of a dining room chandelier, and the scent of freshly baked pies.
A well-decorated home during this time can evoke an emotional connection with potential buyers. A cozy environment can help them imagine spending their future holidays in that very space. Additionally, homes listed during the Thanksgiving season often face less competition, as fewer properties are on the market. This can lead to more serious offers from motivated buyers.
For buyers, Thanksgiving can function as a reminder of why they are on the hunt for a new home in the first place. Perhaps they are looking for a bigger space for a growing family. They may be downsizing to retire or to simplify life. They might be looking for home to accommodate both children and aging parents simultaneously. The holiday season underscores the importance of finding a home that aligns with lifestyle needs and future goals.
In our tight real estate market, buyers still face challenges such as limited inventory and higher interest rates; however, Thanksgiving encourages a shift in perspective. Itās a time to focus on gratitude for what is within reach ā whether itās finding a starter home, securing a dream property, or taking incremental steps toward long-term, financial goals.
Interestingly, Thanksgiving weekend has become an increasingly popular time for real estate research. Families can gather around the table and begin discussing the future, including moving to a new city, upgrading their home, or purchasing an investment property. Digital tools like web searches and virtual tours can help buyers and sellers stay connected to the real estate market without disrupting their Thanksgiving traditions.
Whether you are buying or selling, Thanksgiving offers an opportunity to reflect on the role of gratitude in real estate. For buyers, itās about being thankful for the chance to find a home that meets their needs, even if the journey is challenging. For sellers, itās a moment to appreciate the memories made in a home while looking forward to new opportunities.
For real estate agents and other industry professionals, Thanksgiving is a time to express gratitude to clients and colleagues, build stronger relationships, and highlight the human aspect of a business often driven by transactions alone.
If you are staying put this Thanksgiving, you have a chance to celebrate your current home, no matter its size or condition. Simple gestures like decorating with fall colors, rearranging furniture for a cozy feel, or preparing a special meal can deepen your connection to your space. Inviting neighbors, friends, or family to share in the festivities can reinforce the sense of community that makes a house a home.
Whether itās the home you currently have, the one youāre searching for, or the one you are leaving behind, each holds a unique place in your life story. Take stock of the journey so far, recognize the progress made, and look forward to the possibilities ahead.
Real Estate
Who are the people involved in a real estate transaction?
Lenders, agents, inspectors, and more play a role
When buying a house for the first time, people may wonder if their life is going to be like what you see on HGTV or another TV show. Yes, some real estate agents drive nice cars, put photos on social media of beautiful countertops, luscious landscaping, stunning backsplashes, high-end appliances with bespoke details, and price tags that seem like they belong on a television show ā stuff that āvision boardsā are made of.
Real estate can be sexy. There is also the experience of what I call, āthe everyday transaction.ā This is the situation where someone may be the first in their family or friend group to buy a property. Or maybe this is the last one of their friends to buy a home. It could be the person that just got a notice from their apartment community that their rent was going up by $500 a month next year, and they decided it was time to start putting this inevitable amount of money into an investment each month. As my previous broker calls it, homeownership is a āforced savings plan.ā It can be hard to force oneself to save at times, but your rent payment is going into equity. At some point, you can sell the investment and get back the money you put into it. Rent that is $2,400 a month can easily turn into over $115,000 during one presidential term.
The cast of characters in a real estate transaction includes:
ā¢ The buyer agent and the sellerās agent (if the house is for sale by owner, then no seller agent)
ā¢ The lender (mortgage officer) and their team
ā¢ The title company (a company of attorneys and staff to help with the legal aspects of transferring ownership, recording the deed with the municipality or state and transferring water utilities, paying off the old mortgage with the proceeds from the sale, etc.)
ā¢ Any employees of a city or county that might be brought in (e.g. a down payment assistance loan funded by a municipality)
ā¢ A home inspector (if an inspection is requested by a buyer)
ā¢ Any contractors that are brought in for estimates for repairs or work projects.
These are the people that are brought into the transaction to help bring it to completion. A good agent usually has recommendations on title companies and attorneys, home inspectors, lenders, may have contacts with city or county departments for processing permits, etc. and will utilize the network they have built over the years to help coordinate a smooth transaction (as smooth as possible) and result in a happy seller and a happy buyer.
Who you work with matters. If you have more questions about this, please do not hesitate to ask. Yes, real estate CAN be sexy, but you also want competent people working on your behalf, who know how to navigate the process smoothly.
JosephĀ HudsonĀ is a referral agent with Metro Referrals. Reach him atĀ [email protected]Ā or 703-587-0597.
Real Estate
Assuming a VA Loan
Program available to eligible service members, veterans, and their families
A VA loan is a mortgage loan guaranteed by the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) and is available to eligible service members, veterans, and, in some cases, their families. The VA doesnāt directly lend money; instead, it provides a guarantee on loans made by approved lenders. This guarantee enables lenders to offer favorable terms and less strict requirements than conventional loans, also allowing the loan to be assumed by a subsequent buyer.
Currently, we are seeing renewed interest in the assumption of VA loans from buyers seeking a lower interest rate from what is currently available on the market. In fact, I represented sellers involved in such a transaction earlier this year.
While often a slow and paper-intensive process, an assumption of the sellerās loan balance, interest rate, and length of loan can lead to substantial savings for borrowers, as well as a reduction in up front settlement fees.
Assuming a VA mortgage, however, is not without its complexities and potential pitfalls. Hereās a closer look at the pros and cons of assuming a VA mortgage to help you decide if itās the right choice for you.
Advantages of a VA Mortgage Assumption
Lower Interest Rates. If the seller has a VA loan with a rate thatās lower than offered in the current market, the buyer could benefit significantly. Assuming an older VA loan with a lower rate could mean long-term savings on monthly payments and total interest paid over the life of the loan.
No Down Payment Required. Assuming a VA mortgage typically means that this no-down-payment feature can be transferred to the buyer, assuming the lender allows it.
No Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI). With conventional loans, a downpayment of less than 20% triggers the addition of PMI. VA loans do not require PMI, so assuming a VA loan can help the buyer avoid this expense and can make monthly payments more affordable.
Other Reduced Costs. Since the mortgage is simply being transferred from the seller to the buyer, certain fees associated with originating a new loan may not apply.
Expanded Loan Limits. A seller with full VA entitlement (no outstanding VA loans) and is otherwise qualified can purchase a home without a down payment for up to $766,550 nationwide (2024 figures) and up to $1,149,885 in certain high-cost areas, including DC and several counties within the suburbs of Maryland and Northern Virginia.
Disadvantages of a VA Mortgage Assumption
VA Entitlement Tied Up. While most assumptions take place between buyers and sellers who are veterans or active-duty military, if the new buyer does not have VA loan eligibility, the sellerās entitlement remains with the assumed loan until itās paid off or refinanced. This can limit the sellerās ability to obtain another VA loan in the future while continuing to be liable for the original loan balance if the buyer defaults; therefore, most sellers will only agree to assumptions by others who have VA eligibility.
Equity Gap Requirement. When assuming a VA loan, the buyer must pay any difference between the contract price and the loan amount. Many lenders do not allow a second mortgage with an assumption, so this is often paid in cash. For example, a buyer assuming a $550,000 loan on a home with a contract price of $600,000 will need $50,000 plus applicable closing costs to assume the loan.
Fees and Other Costs. Although closing costs are generally lower in an assumption, there are still fees involved, including a VA funding fee of 0.5% of the loan amount for assumptions, which may add to the upfront cost.
Qualification Process. The seller must make a written request to the lender to begin the process. After preliminary approval by the lenderās Assumption Department, the buyer must demonstrate VA eligibility, if applicable, and submit a loan application and supporting documents needed to meet the lenderās credit, income, and debt-to-income requirements. The assumption can take anywhere from 30 days to a year to complete, depending on the lender, the buyer’s situation, and the complexity of the loan. On average, it takes 60 days to close; the transaction I participated in took 100 days from contract ratification to settlement.
Assuming a VA mortgage can be a great financial move if the interest rate on the existing loan is lower than current rates and if the buyer has the cash to cover any equity gap; however, itās essential to weigh the eligibility requirements, the potential cash needed upfront, and any liability issues carefully. Consulting with a lender and possibly a financial advisor is always wise when considering the many ways to buy a home.
Valerie M. Blake is a licensed Associate Broker in DC, MD & VA with RLAH Real Estate / @properties. Call or text her at 202-246-8602, email her at DCHomeQuest.com, or follow her on Facebook at TheRealst8ofAffairs.
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